Sarpsborg vs Ham-Kam
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sarpsborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SarpsborgGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: 0.025Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Sarpsborg as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sarpsborg is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sarpsborg – Ham-Kam Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | San Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W) | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CA San Miguel - Acassuso | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau | 1.71 | -4.66% |
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Moss - Raufoss | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Palmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1 | 1.75 | -7.35% | 27 Jul 21:15 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |