Model: TIPPSH

Raith vs Stenhousemuir

PREDICTION

@ 1.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3h 12m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Raith. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: RaithGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: 0.059

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.62First seen

Current1.63Now

Max odds1.63Highest point

Min odds1.62Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

RaithHOME

StenhousemuirAWAY

WDDWW

Recent form

DDWWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.80

Shots on target for

5.80

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

7.00

Home splitW-W-W-D-W2.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.63

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Raith's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -33.1% 7D: -17.6% 15D: 5.1% 30D: 8.2%

Model insight

Raith – Stenhousemuir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample265

Win Rate57.4%

Profit-9.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gamle Oslo - FK Union Carl Berner	1.66	-7.35%
LOSS	ADO Den Haag - Asteras Tripolis	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	Bray Wanderers - Kerry FC	1.67	-7.35%
WIN	Hume City - Melbourne City FC 2	1.73	-9.21%
WIN	UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir	1.67	-4.66%
WIN	Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC	1.72	-6.04%
LOSS	Crusaders - Newington FC	1.65	-9.21%

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LoPa - EPS Reservi	1	1.63	-9.21%	31 Jul 17:30
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SC Fortuna Köln - Kickers Offenbach	1	1.67	-4.66%	01 Aug 14:00
East Kilbride - Queen of South	1	1.75	-4.66%	01 Aug 16:00
Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice	1	1.72	-9.21%	01 Aug 17:00

Pick

1 @ 1.63

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 3h 12m

Updated

Updated 1d 4h ago