Bury vs Radcliffe FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bury. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BuryGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.002 | A: -0.066Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.51% based on n=53 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Bury shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bury's attacking profile.
Bury – Radcliffe FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria SP U20 | 4.00 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Vysocina Jihlava - Pardubice | 4.20 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Notts County - Nottm Forest | 4.33 | 6.48% |
| LOSS | America RJ - Nova Iguacu | 4.00 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Carmarthen - Briton Ferry | 4.00 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Bala Town - Colwyn Bay | 4.00 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Annan Athletic - Queen's Park | 4.20 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) - Bulleen Lions (W) | 4.33 | 6.48% |