Model: TIPPSH

Llaneros vs Fortaleza CEIF

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 05, 2026 1:10 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 6h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Llaneros. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LlanerosGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.020 | A: -0.040

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LlanerosHOME

Fortaleza CEIFAWAY

DWWWL

Recent form

DDDDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.60

Shots on target for

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-D1.75 scored / 0.25 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L0.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 33.1% 7D: 4.3% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Llaneros – Fortaleza CEIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample427

Win Rate46.6%

Profit-13.84u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	1.91	1.31%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2.14	1.31%
WIN	Llandudno - Flint Town Utd	2.11	1.04%
LOSS	Bronshoj BK - Ishoj	2.05	1.04%

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Egersund - Sandnes Ulf	1	1.95	1.04%	02 Aug 17:00
Sunderland - Wrexham	1	1.92	1.04%	02 Aug 18:00
Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	1	2.25	1.59%	02 Aug 19:30
Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba	1	2.20	1.04%	03 Aug 02:30

Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 05, 2026 1:10 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2d 6h

Updated

Updated 14h 7m ago