Model: TIPPSH

Reipas vs PPJ

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 3h 59m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Reipas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ReipasGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.096 | A: -0.066

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.84First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ReipasHOME

PPJAWAY

WWLDD

Recent form

LLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.00

Shots on target for

4.40

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

5.60

Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D-W1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Reipas. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Reipas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 19.6% 7D: 6.5% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 7.8%

Model insight

Reipas – PPJ Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample412

Win Rate48.5%

Profit-28.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach	1.78	1.04%
WIN	KCCA - BUL FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	Sunderland - Wrexham	1.92	1.04%
LOSS	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	1.91	1.31%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	1	2.04	1.04%	02 Aug 21:30
Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo	1	1.76	1.31%	04 Aug 02:00
Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	1	1.94	1.04%	06 Aug 01:00
El Paso Locomotive FC - Monterey Bay FC	1	1.78	1.04%	06 Aug 03:00

Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 3h 59m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago