Model: TIPPSH

Darmstadt vs Portsmouth

PREDICTION

@ 1.91

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 1d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Darmstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: DarmstadtGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.048 | A: -0.098

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DarmstadtHOME

PortsmouthAWAY

DWWWW

Recent form

DDLDL

Avg goals scored

5.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

5.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.80

Home splitD-W-L-D-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.91

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Darmstadt is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 28.0% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 11.4% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Darmstadt – Portsmouth Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample446

Win Rate47.8%

Profit-32.98u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.76	1.31%
WIN	KCCA - BUL FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2.14	1.31%
LOSS	SSV Jeddeloh - FSV Schoningen	1.85	1.04%
LOSS	BK Hacken - Kalmar FF	1.81	1.04%

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Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)	1	2.16	1.31%	03 Aug 20:00
Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo	1	1.76	1.31%	04 Aug 02:00

Pick

1 @ 1.91

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 1d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago