South Melbourne U23 vs St Albans Saints U23
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is South Melbourne U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: South Melbourne U23Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.106 | A: 0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. South Melbourne U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
South Melbourne U23 – St Albans Saints U23 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | KCCA - BUL FC | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| WIN | VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Sunderland - Wrexham | 1.92 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 17:30 |
| Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 02:00 |
| Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 01:00 |
| El Paso Locomotive FC - Monterey Bay FC | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 03:00 |
| Gimpo FC - Chungbuk Cheongju | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 12:30 |