Quilmes – Gimnasia Jujuy

Model: TIPPSH

Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.03
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 06, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 7h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Quilmes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: QuilmesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.078 | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current2.03Now
Max odds2.03Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

QuilmesHOME
VS
Gimnasia JujuyAWAY
DLLWL
Recent form
LWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.80
Home splitL-W-W-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.03. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.03
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 42.0% 7D: 11.7% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 9.4%
Model insight

Quilmes – Gimnasia Jujuy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample489
Win Rate47.6%
Profit-21.38u
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Pick
1 @ 2.03
Kickoff
Ago 06, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Starts in 2d 7h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
Torna in alto