Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Quilmes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: QuilmesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.078 | A: 0.051Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.03. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Quilmes – Gimnasia Jujuy Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | KCCA - BUL FC | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 17:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
| Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 20:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |