Model: TIPPSH

Reipas vs PPJ

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 22h 12m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Reipas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ReipasGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.096 | A: -0.066

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.84First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ReipasHOME

PPJAWAY

WLDDL

Recent form

LWLLD

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.00

Shots on target for

5.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

6.60

Home splitW-D-D-W-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-W-D2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Reipas's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 32.0% 7D: 4.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Reipas – PPJ Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample403

Win Rate47.9%

Profit-32.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	KCCA - BUL FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC	1.78	1.31%
LOSS	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	1.91	1.31%
LOSS	SSV Jeddeloh - FSV Schoningen	1.85	1.04%
LOSS	BK Hacken - Kalmar FF	1.81	1.04%
WIN	Middelfart - Thisted FC	1.84	1.31%
LOSS	Bronshoj BK - Ishoj	2.05	1.04%
LOSS	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets	1.83	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

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Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Lens - Villarreal	1	2.04	1.04%	01 Aug 20:00
San Martin SJ - Atletico Rafaela	1	1.88	1.04%	01 Aug 20:30
FC Sion - Lucerne	1	1.93	1.04%	02 Aug 16:30
Egersund - Sandnes Ulf	1	1.95	1.04%	02 Aug 17:00
Sunderland - Wrexham	1	1.92	1.04%	02 Aug 18:00
Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo	1	1.76	1.31%	04 Aug 02:00

Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 22h 12m

Updated

Updated 1h 39m ago