Model: TIPPSA

Hodd vs Moss

PREDICTION

@ 2.79

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 41m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Moss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MossGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.098 | A: -0.161

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.95First seen

Current2.88Now

Max odds3.14Highest point

Min odds2.88Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HoddHOME

MossAWAY

LWWDL

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.40

2.80

Shots on target for

4.40

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

8.40

5.80

Home splitW-L-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-W2.00 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.79. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.79

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Moss is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 59.4% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 10.0%

Model insight

Hodd – Moss Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample85

Win Rate40.0%

Profit+5.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Hertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg	2.76	4.96%
LOSS	FC Gute - Kungsängens IF	2.80	3.61%
LOSS	Aarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	2.76	4.96%
WIN	Panama U20 - Canada U20	2.71	4.13%
LOSS	Gremio - Fluminense	2.54	3.43%
LOSS	Kalmar FF - Mjällby AIF	2.71	4.13%
LOSS	Kalmar FF - Malmo FF	2.82	4.96%
WIN	IFK Varnamo - Ljungskile	2.54	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.79

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166

Start

Started 41m ago

Updated

Updated 2h 43m ago