FC Badalona (W) vs Villarreal (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Badalona (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC Badalona (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.086 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward FC Badalona (W) as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. FC Badalona (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
FC Badalona (W) – Villarreal (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20 | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Tenerife B - CD Marino | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Aberystwyth - Treowen Stars | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Odd II - Staal Jørpeland | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Nasaf Qarshi - FK Kokand 1912 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Gornik Zabrze U19 - Stal Rzeszow U19 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 09 Aug 10:15 |
| Young Boys II - Lugano II | 1 | 1.62 | -3.82% | 09 Aug 14:00 |
| UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 16:00 |
| VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 17:00 |
| Santa Ana - AD Carmelita | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 19:00 |
| Breidablik - Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 21:15 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius II - FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 10 Aug 18:00 |
| Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 10 Aug 20:15 |