Augsburg – Sassuolo

Model: TIPPSH

Augsburg vs Sassuolo

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 10h 59m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Augsburg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AugsburgGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.096 | A: 0.036

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

57/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AugsburgHOME
VS
SassuoloAWAY
WWLDL
Recent form
LLDDL
Avg goals scored
4.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.80
Shots on target for
7.40
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.20
Home splitW-D-W-D-D2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.87% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.10
V2 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104
V4 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Augsburg a useful statistical edge. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Augsburg is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -0.9% 7D: 11.7% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 9.7%
Model insight

Augsburg – Sassuolo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.87% and 8.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate57.1%
Profit+3.48u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Emmen - Roda JC2.288.94%
WINVersailles 78 - FC Fleury 912.158.87%
LOSSSlavia Prague B - FK Pribram2.018.87%
WINSpokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence2.278.94%
LOSSVaengir Jupiters - Ellidi1.968.87%
WINDalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan2.288.94%
LOSSFarul Constanta - Otelul Galati2.308.94%
WINFerroviaria SP - Barra FC1.908.87%
Pick
1 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.87% • n=104
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.87% • n=104
Start
Started 10h 59m ago
Updated
Updated 13h 3m ago
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