Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hapoel Jerusalem. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Hapoel JerusalemGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.015Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.67. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hapoel Jerusalem's attacking profile.
Hapoel Jerusalem – Hapoel Petah Tikva Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Auckland FC II - East Coast Bays | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| WIN | AD Isidro Metapan - CD Aguila | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Estrella del Sur Reserves - CA Lugano Reserves | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Avia Swidnik - Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 2.61 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Wehen SV - SC Preussen Munster | 2.66 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros - Monagas II | 1 | 2.80 | 4.53% | 09 Aug 21:30 |
| Alianza - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 2.84 | 4.53% | 09 Aug 23:05 |
| Maranhao - Brusque | 1 | 2.74 | 2.49% | 09 Aug 23:30 |
| Silkeborg IF - Odense BK | 1 | 2.67 | 3.15% | 10 Aug 19:00 |