Austin FC – Puebla

Model: TIPPSH

Austin FC vs Puebla

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 10, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 2h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -8.30% · n=180
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 24m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.011 | A: 0.026

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.74Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Austin FCHOME
VS
PueblaAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
LDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.00
Shots on target for
4.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.60
Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.74
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandNONEROI -8.30% · n=180
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Austin FC as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Austin FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.7% 7D: 13.8% 15D: 9.9% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Austin FC – Puebla Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.21% and -8.30%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample329
Win Rate61.1%
Profit+8.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.65-4.66%
WINPhiladelphia Union - Necaxa1.73-4.66%
WINEnvigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U191.73-7.35%
LOSSWolfsburg - Kaiserslautern1.62-9.21%
LOSSVicenza - Catania1.72-9.21%
WINCelta Fortuna - UD Ourense1.68-9.21%
WINFana - Gneist1.65-9.21%
WINReal Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U201.69-9.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.74
Kickoff
Ago 10, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-8.30% • n=180
Start
Started 2h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 24m ago
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