Philadelphia Union – Necaxa

Model: TIPPSH

Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 10, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 4h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.035 | A: -0.023

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

5/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Philadelphia UnionHOME
VS
NecaxaAWAY
LWWWL
Recent form
LLWWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.20
Shots on target for
6.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-D-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L0.75 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Philadelphia Union, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Philadelphia Union's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 12.9% 7D: 17.1% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Philadelphia Union – Necaxa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample322
Win Rate61.2%
Profit+8.84u
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Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Ago 10, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Starts in 1d 4h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
Torna in alto