Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.035 | A: -0.023Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Philadelphia Union, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Philadelphia Union's attacking profile.
Philadelphia Union – Necaxa Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Vicenza - Catania | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Fana - Gneist | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20 | 1.69 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| AC Colina - CD Rengo Unido | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 21:30 |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo - Municipal Limeno | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 03:00 |
| FC Fredericia - Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 15:00 |
| Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 17:30 |
| Quilmes - Almagro | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 22:00 |
| FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 10 Aug 17:45 |