Carshalton Ath vs Wingate & Finchley
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Carshalton Ath. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Carshalton AthGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.067 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Isthmian Premier Division (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Carshalton Ath – Wingate & Finchley Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Koper U19 - NK Fuzinar U19 | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| WIN | KCCA - Kitara FC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Drøbak/Frogn - Sandefjord 2 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Basel - FC Thun | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Banbury - Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 1.93 | 1.31% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Alloa - Stranraer | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 1 | 2.04 | 1.31% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
| UD Leiria - Benfica B | 1 | 2.02 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| Club Atletico Mitre - CA Guemes | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 21:00 |