Lancaster City vs Warrington Rylands
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lancaster City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Lancaster CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.122Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Lancaster City – Warrington Rylands Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Loughborough University - Belper Town | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Monagas II | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Auckland FC II - East Coast Bays | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2.45 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Afan Lido - Llantwit Major | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros - Deportes Tolima | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 01:00 |
| Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 2.73 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 12:00 |
| Stoke - Swansea | 1 | 2.43 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Barnet - Salford City | 1 | 2.38 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Sheff Utd - Birmingham | 1 | 2.62 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 18:30 |