Model: TIPPSH

Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima

PREDICTION

@ 2.73

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 1h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Llaneros. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LlanerosGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.65First seen

Current2.73Now

Max odds2.73Highest point

Min odds2.65Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LlanerosHOME

Deportes TolimaAWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

WLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.60

Shots on target for

6.40

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

4.60

Home splitW-W-W-W-D2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.73. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.73

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Llaneros has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -16.3% 7D: -2.6% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Llaneros – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample68

Win Rate42.6%

Profit+9.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mineros - Monagas II	2.80	4.53%
LOSS	Club Aurora - Bolivar	2.70	2.49%
WIN	Auckland FC II - East Coast Bays	2.50	2.49%
WIN	Bury Town - Halesowen	2.95	4.53%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2.93	4.53%
LOSS	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac	2.80	4.53%
WIN	FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.90	4.53%
WIN	Maranhao - Brusque	2.74	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
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Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	1	2.73	3.15%	15 Aug 12:00
Crusaders - Ballymena Utd	1	2.96	4.53%	15 Aug 16:00
Sheff Utd - Birmingham	1	2.62	2.49%	15 Aug 18:30

Pick

1 @ 2.73

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 4d 1h

Updated

Updated 15m ago