Llaneros – Deportes Tolima

Model: TIPPSH

Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Llaneros. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LlanerosGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

25/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.84Now
Max odds2.84Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LlanerosHOME
VS
Deportes TolimaAWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.60
Shots on target for
6.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-D2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.84. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.84
V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Llaneros shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -16.3% 7D: -2.6% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

Llaneros – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample50
Win Rate30.0%
Profit-7.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - San Lorenzo (W)2.90-2.37%
LOSSCowdenbeath - Broxburn Athletic3.05-2.37%
LOSSFC Baranovichi - BATE Borisov2.76-2.37%
LOSSTrefelin BGC - Llandudno2.85-2.37%
LOSSPlymouth - Bristol City2.80-2.37%
LOSSLeones FC - Barcelona Guayaquil2.89-2.37%
LOSSAlianza - Deportes Tolima2.79-2.37%
WINFram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)2.96-2.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Bonnyrigg Rose - Annan Athletic12.80-2.37%11 Aug 20:45
Leyton Orient - Sheff Wed13.00-1.00%15 Aug 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.37% • n=266
Start
Starts in 4d
Updated
Updated 14m ago
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