Model: TIPPSH
New York City FC II vs Orlando City II
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 20h 27m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 59m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is New York City FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: New York City FC IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.082 | A: -0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
New York City FC IIHOME
VS
Orlando City IIAWAY
WDLLW
Recent form
LLLDW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
4.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.80
Home splitW-D-D-W-L2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-D1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors New York City FC II. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -6.4%
7D: 6.7%
15D: 11.7%
30D: 11.1%
Model insight
New York City FC II – Orlando City II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample532
Win Rate47.7%
Profit-6.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Measurers Club - Rainbow AC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Jaen - Cacereno | 2.25 | 1.41% |
| LOSS | Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Banbury - Racing Club Warwick | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | KCCA - Kitara FC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Drøbak/Frogn - Sandefjord 2 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1.93 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
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| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| FK Horni Redice - MFK Chrudim | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 12 Aug 17:00 |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 21:15 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
| Coventry - Monaco | 1 | 2.24 | 1.04% | 14 Aug 20:00 |
| Sao Bernardo SP - Botafogo SP | 1 | 2.30 | 1.59% | 15 Aug 00:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 20h 27m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 59m ago