Derby U21 vs Hull U21
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hull U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Hull U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.003Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.97. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.92% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England U21 Premier League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hull U21's attacking profile.
Derby U21 – Hull U21 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Osasuna - Al Ain SCC | 4.10 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | AFC Wimbledon - Newport County | 4.20 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | CSD Municipal - Cartagines | 3.85 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Rosario Central - Racing Club | 3.80 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | CD Los Chankas - Sport Boys | 4.07 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Ituano - Figueirense | 3.81 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Sarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U19 | 3.89 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Vaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W) | 4.17 | 3.92% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKC - FC Dordrecht | 2 | 3.77 | 3.99% | 14 Aug 20:00 |