Model: TIPPSH

Bogota FC vs Patriotas FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 1d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bogota FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bogota FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.064 | A: 0.085

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.64Now

Max odds2.64Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bogota FCHOME

Patriotas FCAWAY

LDLWW

Recent form

DWLLD

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.00

Shots on target for

3.40

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

7.20

Home splitL-L-W-L-D0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.64. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera B (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.64

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Bogota FC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -7.4% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 6.5%

Model insight

Bogota FC – Patriotas FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample131

Win Rate37.4%

Profit-7.36u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2.53	1.59%
LOSS	Ulsan HD - Gangwon FC	2.52	1.59%
WIN	Juventude de Evora - Alcochetense	2.51	1.59%
WIN	Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro	2.44	1.59%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Gualaceo SC - Atletico FC Guayaquil	2.61	1.59%
LOSS	FK Neratovice-Byskovice - FK Jablonec B	2.67	1.59%
WIN	Lautaro de Buin - Malleco Unido	2.50	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.64

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 1d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 11h ago