Model: TipTromba2H

LDU Quito vs Mirassol

PREDICTION

@ 1.57

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 19h 40m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LDU Quito. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LDU QuitoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.004 | A: -0.066

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LDU QuitoHOME

MirassolAWAY

WDLWW

Recent form

LDLLD

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.20

Shots on target for

5.60

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

4.20

Home splitL-W-W-L-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-L0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Libertadores. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.57

V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. LDU Quito is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -36.6% 7D: -12.2% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 6.2%

Model insight

LDU Quito – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample530

Win Rate64.3%

Profit+17.27u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mohun Bagan SG - Jamshedpur FC	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	FK Auda - SC Grobinas	1.60	-3.38%
WIN	FK Qarabag - Shamakhi FK	1.67	-3.38%
LOSS	Coimbra U20 - Boston City FC U20	1.65	-1.89%
WIN	LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W)	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1.57	-3.38%
WIN	Atletico Pilar - CUDP Lobos	1.65	-3.82%
WIN	Deportes Iquique (W) - Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1.55	-1.89%

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Pick

1 @ 1.57

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.89% • n=1157

Start

Starts in 19h 40m

Updated

Updated 2d 4h ago