Model: TIPPSH

Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21

PREDICTION

@ 2.09

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h 51m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peterborough U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Peterborough U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.120

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current2.09Now

Max odds2.17Highest point

Min odds1.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Peterborough U21HOME

QPR U21AWAY

LWDW

Recent form

WLDW

Avg goals scored

1.50

2.50

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.25

Shots on target for

7.50

4.25

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.75

Home splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.09. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Development League 2 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.09

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Peterborough U21 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -15.6% 7D: -20.0% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Peterborough U21 – QPR U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample630

Win Rate49.5%

Profit+9.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Centro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.26	1.59%
WIN	Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves	2.08	1.04%
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
LOSS	Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W)	1.91	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.09

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 16h 51m

Updated

Updated 8m ago