Model: TIPPSA

BKMA FC vs Ararat Yerevan

PREDICTION

@ 2.51

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 1d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ararat Yerevan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ararat YerevanGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.005 | A: -0.367

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BKMA FCHOME

Ararat YerevanAWAY

LLDDL

Recent form

WLLDL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

3.00

Shots on target for

2.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

4.20

Home splitL-D-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.40 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Armenia Premier League (am). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.51

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Ararat Yerevan is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -31.4% 7D: -12.6% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

BKMA FC – Ararat Yerevan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample73

Win Rate45.2%

Profit+8.02u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SK Beveren - Anderlecht	2.36	0.84%
WIN	Pacos Ferreira - Paredes	2.38	0.84%
LOSS	Puchov - Spartak Myjava	2.39	0.84%
WIN	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	2.47	0.84%
LOSS	BATE Borisov - FC Vitebsk	2.45	0.84%
LOSS	Rhyl - Caersws	2.66	0.84%
WIN	Avai - CRB	2.74	0.84%
LOSS	FC Brno II - Frydek Mistek	2.42	0.84%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sarmiento - Huracan	2	2.68	0.84%	16 Aug 20:00

Pick

2 @ 2.51

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 1d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 4h ago