Model: TipA1

Sertaozinho FC U20 vs Mirassol U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 20h 4m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mirassol U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mirassol U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.000 | A: -0.107

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sertaozinho FC U20HOME

Mirassol U20AWAY

WLLWD

Recent form

LWLDD

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

3.20

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.80

Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Mirassol U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.0% 7D: -14.2% 15D: 5.6% 30D: 6.2%

Model insight

Sertaozinho FC U20 – Mirassol U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample214

Win Rate38.8%

Profit-7.66u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Shan Utd U20 - Dagon Star United U20	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	FC Vado - Inter Milan U23	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	AZ Picerno ASD - Barletta	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	FC Roskilde - Middelfart	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Perth SC - Perth RedStar FC	2.63	4.27%
WIN	Limavady United - Carrick Rangers	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	IF Vestri - IR Reykjavik	2.60	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santos (W) - Flamengo (W)	2	2.55	4.27%	16 Aug 16:00
FK Zemun - Mladost Lucani	2	2.63	4.27%	16 Aug 21:00
AD Confianca - Maringa FC	2	2.45	4.27%	16 Aug 23:30

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Started 20h 4m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 7h ago