Puchov – Spartak Myjava

Model: TIPPSA

Puchov vs Spartak Myjava

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spartak Myjava. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spartak MyjavaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.024 | A: 0.077

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current3.03Now
Max odds3.03Highest point
Min odds2.01Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PuchovHOME
VS
Spartak MyjavaAWAY
DDWLL
Recent form
DWWDD
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
4.60
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.40
Home splitD-D-L-W-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-D-D1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovakia 3. Liga (sk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Spartak Myjava has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Spartak Myjava is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.4% 7D: -18.2% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 4.5%
Model insight

Puchov – Spartak Myjava Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate37.8%
Profit+10.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFulham - VfB Stuttgart2.94-1.07%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur2.98-1.07%
LOSSKubikenborgs IF - Täfteå IK2.92-1.07%
LOSSMineros de Zacatecas - Venados FC3.01-1.07%
LOSSCD Derio - San Ignacio3.10-1.07%
WINFK Austria Vienna - Beitar Jerusalem2.75-1.07%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Chongqing Tonglianglong3.14-1.07%
WINManta FC - Mushuc Runa2.82-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
Torna in alto