JK Tallinna Kalev – FC Elva

Model: TIPPSH

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Elva

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 2d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Tallinna Kalev. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Tallinna KalevGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.156 | A: 0.130

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.26First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Tallinna KalevHOME
VS
FC ElvaAWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
4.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
5.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.20
Home splitW-W-D-W-D3.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.43. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.43
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, JK Tallinna Kalev shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -26.2% 7D: -22.8% 15D: -1.0% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

JK Tallinna Kalev – FC Elva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample289
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+3.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCentro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario2.261.59%
WINAmedspor - Erzurumspor FK2.341.59%
WINGuangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves2.531.59%
LOSSUlsan HD - Gangwon FC2.521.59%
LOSSRebordosa - FC Tirsense2.191.04%
WINVilla San Carlos - Defensores Unidos2.251.59%
WINJuventude de Evora - Alcochetense2.511.59%
WINVolsungur - IF Vestri2.501.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning12.551.59%23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves12.651.59%30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves12.401.59%05 Jul 19:00
Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik12.201.31%17 Aug 21:15
Marine - Chorley12.501.59%18 Aug 20:45
Hemel Hempstead - Maidenhead Utd12.221.04%18 Aug 20:45
SC Farense U23 - Estoril U2312.371.59%18 Aug 21:00
Goias - EC Juventude12.351.59%19 Aug 02:35
Pick
1 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 2d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 4h ago
Torna in alto