Model: TIPPSH

St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 14h 39m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Patricks. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St PatricksGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.014 | A: -0.018

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St PatricksHOME

Shamrock RoversAWAY

WWDDW

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

6.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

3.40

Home splitW-D-D-W-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-L0.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland FAI Cup (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors St Patricks. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. St Patricks has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -20.5% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 4.3%

Model insight

St Patricks – Shamrock Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample483

Win Rate47.2%

Profit+13.95u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
WIN	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Molde - Tromso	2.11	1.31%
LOSS	Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Benatky Nad Jizerou - Hradec Kralove B	2.10	1.31%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Volsungur - IF Vestri	1	2.50	1.59%	17 Aug 20:00
FK Decic Tuzi - FK Bokelj	1	2.07	1.04%	17 Aug 20:00
Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik	1	2.20	1.31%	17 Aug 21:15
Brackley - Kings Lynn Town	1	2.05	1.04%	18 Aug 20:45
Marine - Chorley	1	2.50	1.59%	18 Aug 20:45

Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 14h 39m ago

Updated

Updated 1d ago