Model: TipA1

Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake

PREDICTION

@ 3.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 32m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Real Salt Lake. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Real Salt LakeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.121

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.68First seen

Current3.63Now

Max odds3.68Highest point

Min odds3.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Orlando City SCHOME

Real Salt LakeAWAY

LDDLW

Recent form

LDWWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.40

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

7.20

3.60

Home splitL-D-D-L-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=305 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Real Salt Lake is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -3.7% 7D: -15.0% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 2.0%

Model insight

Orlando City SC – Real Salt Lake Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample43

Win Rate37.2%

Profit+14.60u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Graficar Beograd - Loznica	3.75	4.37%
WIN	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	3.40	2.63%
LOSS	Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent	3.75	4.37%
LOSS	ADO '20 - USV Hercules	3.75	4.37%
LOSS	Club Villa Mitre - CA Alvarado	3.50	2.63%
WIN	Kozakken Boys - IJsselmeervogels	3.40	2.63%
LOSS	Estudiantes Merida - Academia Anzoategui FC	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Odra Opole - Warta Poznan	3.50	2.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Dingnan Ganlian FC - Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2	3.50	2.63%	22 Aug 13:30
Doncaster - Barnsley	2	3.50	2.63%	22 Aug 13:30
KF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi	2	3.75	2.27%	22 Aug 16:30
Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes	2	3.75	4.37%	22 Aug 22:00

Pick

2 @ 3.60

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305

Start

Starts in 20h 32m

Updated

Updated 2d 1h ago