Model: TipTromba2H
Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.55
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 4h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 6h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alianza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlianzaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.148 | A: 0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
5/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
AlianzaHOME
VS
Deportivo PereiraAWAY
LLDWL
Recent form
DLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.40
Shots on target for
4.20
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
7.00
Home splitL-L-D-W-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-D-L0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.55
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 41.7%
7D: -7.2%
15D: -1.6%
30D: 3.0%
Model insight
Alianza – Deportivo Pereira Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample542
Win Rate64.8%
Profit+21.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Lillehammer U19 - Asker U19 | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Navalcarnero - Torrejon | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Zaglebie Sosnowiec - Sleza Wroclaw | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | ROW 1964 Rybnik - Carina Gubin | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdansk | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | ND Ilirija U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U19 | 1.70 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Boston Utd - Birmingham U21 | 1.73 | -1.89% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Quito - Mirassol | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 18 Aug 22:00 |
| Jadran Dekani - NK Jesenice | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 21 Aug 17:00 |
| FK Auda - Tukums 2000 | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 21 Aug 17:00 |
| Al Urooba - Al Dhaid | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 21 Aug 17:15 |
| Chomutov - FK Usti nad Labem B | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 21 Aug 18:30 |
| Wiener Sportclub - SC Wiener Viktoria | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 21 Aug 19:30 |
| Sport Huancayo II - CD Estudiantil CNI | 1 | 1.57 | -3.82% | 21 Aug 22:30 |
| Queanbeyan City - O'Connor Knights | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 07:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.55
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Starts in 1d 4h
Updated
Updated 2d 6h ago