New York City FC II – FC Cincinnati II

Model: TIPPSH

New York City FC II vs FC Cincinnati II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 7h 16m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New York City FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New York City FC IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.048 | A: -0.076

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.66Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New York City FC IIHOME
VS
FC Cincinnati IIAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
3.80
Shots on target for
6.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
9.80
Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 4.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.66
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward New York City FC II as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 57.0% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -1.0% 30D: 3.3%
Model insight

New York City FC II – FC Cincinnati II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample386
Win Rate61.7%
Profit+13.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINReal Oviedo B - Caudal1.72-7.35%
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LOSSNairn County - Lossiemouth1.63-7.35%
LOSSCD Marathon - Alianza FC1.65-9.21%
LOSSOne Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine1.66-7.35%
WINWigan - Aston Villa U211.68-9.21%
WINCoquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W)1.63-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.66
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 7h 16m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 50m ago
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