Model: TIPPSH

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.69

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 3h 19m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Grindavik/Njardvik (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Grindavik/Njardvik (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.083 | A: -0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.69First seen

Current1.69Now

Max odds1.72Highest point

Min odds1.69Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)HOME

Fram Reykjavik (W)AWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

LLLWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

3.20

Shots on target for

8.20

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

8.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-D2.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.69

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Grindavik/Njardvik (W) as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Grindavik/Njardvik (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 67.9% 7D: 2.3% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) – Fram Reykjavik (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample389

Win Rate61.4%

Profit+12.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mohun Bagan SG - Northeast United	1.66	-9.21%
WIN	Real Oviedo B - Caudal	1.72	-7.35%
WIN	Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes	1.69	-9.21%
LOSS	UMF Selfoss - Kari	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Nairn County - Lossiemouth	1.63	-7.35%
LOSS	CD Marathon - Alianza FC	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II	1.75	-4.66%
LOSS	One Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	1.66	-7.35%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00
Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1	1.67	-4.66%	21 Aug 12:00
PK-35 - JaPS	1	1.63	-9.21%	21 Aug 18:00
Vejle - Esbjerg	1	1.66	-4.66%	21 Aug 18:00
FC Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad	1	1.63	-9.89%	21 Aug 19:00
Cherno More Varna - Dunav Ruse	1	1.62	-4.66%	21 Aug 20:15
Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	1	1.64	-7.35%	21 Aug 20:30

Pick

1 @ 1.69

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 3h 19m ago

Updated

Updated 5h 21m ago