Model: TIPPSH
Chaves vs AVS
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 14h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chaves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChavesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.228 | A: -0.016Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
ChavesHOME
VS
AVSAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
DLDDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
2.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.00
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 39.4%
7D: -5.3%
15D: -0.9%
30D: 2.9%
Model insight
Chaves – AVS Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample689
Win Rate51.7%
Profit+3.06u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gramadense - Lajeadense | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aryan FC - Measurers Club | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | 24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.82 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Atletico Morelia - Correcaminos | 1 | 1.80 | 1.31% | 21 Aug 03:00 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Gornik Leczna | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 18:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 2d 14h
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago