Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sacramento Republic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sacramento RepublicGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.077 | A: 0.018Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Sacramento Republic. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sacramento Republic is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sacramento Republic – Phoenix Rising FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Goztepe U19 - Genclerbirligi U19 | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Unia Swarzedz - Wda Swiecie | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Capital CF U20 - Sobradinho U20 | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna (W) - SCR Altach (W) | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Chaves - AVS | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sochaux U19 - Nancy U19 | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | JK Tammeka Tartu II - Johvi FC Phoenix | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Tauro FC Reserves - Alianza FC Reserves | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |