Chaves – AVS

Model: TIPPSH

Chaves vs AVS

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 29m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chaves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ChavesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.228 | A: -0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.79Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ChavesHOME
VS
AVSAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
DLDDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
2.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.00
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 24.3% 7D: 23.5% 15D: 1.3% 30D: 4.3%
Model insight

Chaves – AVS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample837
Win Rate50.2%
Profit-8.73u
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WINLeon U19 - Monterrey U192.251.59%
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WINNK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja2.001.31%
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Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 3h 29m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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