NK Bilje – NK Bistrica

Model: TIPPSH

NK Bilje vs NK Bistrica

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 1h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Bilje. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK BiljeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.015

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK BiljeHOME
VS
NK BistricaAWAY
LWWLL
Recent form
WLDDL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.60
Shots on target for
3.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.80
Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L-W2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia 2. SNL (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.10
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 32.3% 7D: 20.7% 15D: 1.3% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

NK Bilje – NK Bistrica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample690
Win Rate47.7%
Profit-12.32u
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WINBFA Vilnius - FK Neptunas Klaipeda2.101.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 19m ago
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