Model: TIPPSH
Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 9h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aarau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AarauGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.004 | A: 0.033Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
AarauHOME
VS
Neuchatel XamaxAWAY
LDWDL
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
3.40
Home splitW-D-W-L-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Challenge League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.7%
7D: 29.4%
15D: 5.2%
30D: 6.9%
Model insight
Aarau – Neuchatel Xamax Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample809
Win Rate49.3%
Profit-30.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Everton de Vina - Universidad de Concepcion | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | JK Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond | 1.81 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Reading U21 - Derby U21 | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Goztepe U19 - Genclerbirligi U19 | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Unia Swarzedz - Wda Swiecie | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Brasil de Farroupilha - Guarani de Venancio Aires | 1.95 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Ago 28, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 3d 9h
Updated
Updated 11m ago