Model: TIPPSH

Diyala FC vs Al Jolan SC

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 7:45 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 1d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Diyala FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Diyala FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.001 | A: 0.005

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.14Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Diyala FCHOME

Al Jolan SCAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.40

Home splitD-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Diyala FC. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Diyala FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -12.4% 7D: 8.4% 15D: 14.5% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Diyala FC – Al Jolan SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample814

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-23.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Atletico San Luis (W) - Atlas (W)	2.14	1.04%
WIN	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy - CA Sarmiento de la Banda	2.03	1.31%
WIN	CSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco	2.28	1.59%
WIN	Juventud Unida San Miguel - Club Mercedes	2.22	1.31%
LOSS	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci	1.96	1.04%
WIN	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	1.89	1.04%
WIN	FC Koper U19 - NK Radomlje U19	1.99	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 7:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 21h ago