AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AEK Larnaca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AEK LarnacaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.029 | A: 0.057Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Cyprus Division 1 (cy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
AEK Larnaca – Apoel Nicosia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Balzan FC - Gzira United | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Varzim - Trofense | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Diyala FC - Al Jolan SC | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Pachuca U21 - Chivas Guadalajara U21 | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Neftchi Fergana - Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Veertien Mie - Vonds Ichihara | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Grange Thistle - Moreton City Excelsior B | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Tigres UANL (W) - Pachuca (W) | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| LASK Linz - Celtic | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 25 Aug 21:00 |
| Slavia Prague B - Opava | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 30 Aug 10:15 |