Sheff Utd – Bolton

Model: TIPPSH

Sheff Utd vs Bolton

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 01, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 3h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sheff Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sheff UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.092 | A: 0.047

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.58First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sheff UtdHOME
VS
BoltonAWAY
WDWDD
Recent form
LLDWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
2.60
Home splitW-D-W-L-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Sheff Utd as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -11.8% 7D: 9.4% 15D: 12.7% 30D: 8.8%
Model insight

Sheff Utd – Bolton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample502
Win Rate61.4%
Profit+14.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSingida Black Stars - Namungo FC1.70-9.21%
WINNEC FC Bugolobi - Lugazi FC1.65-6.04%
LOSSPSV Reserves - Ajax Reserves1.65-4.66%
WINAZ Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves1.65-9.21%
LOSSForest Green - Altrincham1.68-6.04%
LOSSCharlton U21 - Wigan U211.63-7.35%
WINHuddersfield U21 - QPR U211.71-7.35%
WINOlimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U191.69-7.35%
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West Brom - Charlton11.74-7.35%02 Sep 20:45
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Torque - Cerro Largo11.68-4.66%05 Sep 00:00
Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Set 01, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 3h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 3d 3h ago
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