Model: TIPPSH

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

PREDICTION

@ 1.69

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 12:15 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 4h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alianza Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alianza AtleticoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: -0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.67First seen

Current1.69Now

Max odds1.69Highest point

Min odds1.67Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alianza AtleticoHOME

UTC CajamarcaAWAY

WDWDW

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.40

Shots on target for

5.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

9.40

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.69

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Alianza Atletico, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Alianza Atletico is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 15.0% 7D: 6.9% 15D: 15.8% 30D: 8.2%

Model insight

Alianza Atletico – UTC Cajamarca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample502

Win Rate61.4%

Profit+14.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Singida Black Stars - Namungo FC	1.70	-9.21%
WIN	NEC FC Bugolobi - Lugazi FC	1.65	-6.04%
LOSS	PSV Reserves - Ajax Reserves	1.65	-4.66%
WIN	AZ Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves	1.65	-9.21%
LOSS	Forest Green - Altrincham	1.68	-6.04%
LOSS	Charlton U21 - Wigan U21	1.63	-7.35%
WIN	Huddersfield U21 - QPR U21	1.71	-7.35%
WIN	Olimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U19	1.69	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.69

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 12:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Starts in 2d 4h

Updated

Updated 2d 13h ago