Model: TIPPSH

Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax

PREDICTION

@ 1.95

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 11h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aarau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AarauGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.004 | A: 0.033

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AarauHOME

Neuchatel XamaxAWAY

LDWDL

Recent form

LDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.40

Home splitW-D-W-L-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Challenge League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.95

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.5% 7D: 31.5% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 7.1%

Model insight

Aarau – Neuchatel Xamax Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample804

Win Rate49.5%

Profit-27.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves	1.87	1.04%
LOSS	Goztepe U19 - Genclerbirligi U19	1.96	1.04%
LOSS	Unia Swarzedz - Wda Swiecie	1.75	1.04%
LOSS	Brasil de Farroupilha - Guarani de Venancio Aires	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Goztepe - Genclerbirligi	1.76	1.04%
WIN	Capital CF U20 - Sobradinho U20	1.79	1.04%
LOSS	Gramadense - APAFUT	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	Rapid Vienna (W) - SCR Altach (W)	1.84	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.95

Kickoff

Ago 28, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 4d 11h

Updated

Updated 13m ago