Model: TIPPSH

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge

PREDICTION

@ 1.68

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 10h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -8.30% · n=180

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aarhus Fremad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aarhus FremadGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.073 | A: -0.066

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current1.68Now

Max odds1.70Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aarhus FremadHOME

HB KøgeAWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.60

Shots on target for

3.80

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.60

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.68

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandNONEROI -8.30% · n=180

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Aarhus Fremad as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Aarhus Fremad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 50.0% 7D: 29.0% 15D: 9.1% 30D: 12.4%

Model insight

Aarhus Fremad – HB Køge Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.21% and -8.30%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample292

Win Rate59.2%

Profit-1.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport	1.72	-10.11%
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WIN	FC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC	1.65	-6.04%
WIN	Qviding FIF - BK Astrio	1.62	-10.11%
WIN	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC	1.70	-7.35%
WIN	Legia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin	1.62	-7.35%
WIN	Bocas - Veraguas United Reserves	1.63	-10.11%

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Pick

1 @ 1.68

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-8.30% • n=180

Start

Starts in 3d 10h

Updated

Updated 10m ago