Al-Jazeera KWT – Yarmouk

Model: TipTromba35H

Al-Jazeera KWT vs Yarmouk

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 9:15 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 1d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al-Jazeera KWT. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al-Jazeera KWTGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.88First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.25Highest point
Min odds2.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al-Jazeera KWTHOME
VS
YarmoukAWAY
WLDWW
Recent form
LDWDW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
8.20
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
3.20
Home splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kuwait Division 1 (kw). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -16.2% 7D: -19.3% 15D: -3.0% 30D: 1.7%
Model insight

Al-Jazeera KWT – Yarmouk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample257
Win Rate30.7%
Profit-5.08u
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 9:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 1d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 7h ago
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