Model: TIPPSH
Alamein FC (W) – Keilor Park (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 11d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Alamein FC (W) | Keilor Park (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-W-W | L-W-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L (home) | L-L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 4.20 against | 2.40 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.25 against (home) | 3.50 for / 7.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alamein FC (W)'s attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 27.0%
7D: 28.4%
15D: 25.0%
30D: 8.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.65Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Alamein FC (W) – Keilor Park (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample114
Win Rate56.1%
Profit-6.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Austin FC II - Los Angeles FC II | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FC Stockholm Internazionale - Vasalunds IF | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Sampaio Correa - Iguatu | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Mixto - Ceilandia | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ariana FC Malmo - Eskilsminne IF | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Sydney Olympic FC (W) - NWS Spirit (W) | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Santiago Morning - General Velásquez | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1.70 | -9.21% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC - Norrby IF | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 10 Jun 19:00 |
| Tindastoll - KF Fjallabyggd | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 10 Jun 21:15 |
| Ceara - Avai | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 11 Jun 01:00 |
| Oakland Roots - Miami FC | 1 | 1.70 | -7.35% | 14 Jun 04:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.65
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 11d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 5h ago