Model: TIPPSH

Skeid U19 vs Baerum SK U19

PREDICTION

@ 1.78

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 23h 32m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Skeid U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Skeid U19Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

25/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.83First seen

Current1.83Now

Max odds1.83Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Skeid U19HOME

Baerum SK U19AWAY

WWLDW

Recent form

LDLWW

Avg goals scored

3.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.00

Shots on target for

8.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

6.80

Home splitW-W-W-W4.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-W-D1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Interkretsserie U19 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.78

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Skeid U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 3.3% 7D: 9.1% 15D: 14.9% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Skeid U19 – Baerum SK U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample407

Win Rate50.4%

Profit-22.32u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Eltham Redbacks - Manningham United Blues	1.99	1.31%
WIN	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	2.02	1.04%
WIN	Elfsborg - Vasteras SK	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Lunds BK - Hässleholms IF	1.97	1.04%
LOSS	Skive - Fremad Amager	2.01	1.31%
LOSS	Karlovac - NK Trnje	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	CA Atlanta Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves	1.83	1.04%
WIN	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	1.93	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.78

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 23h 32m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago