Austin FC vs Puebla
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.011 | A: 0.026Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Austin FC's attacking profile.
Austin FC – Puebla Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1.73 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Vicenza - Catania | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Fana - Gneist | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20 | 1.69 | -9.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 10 Aug 17:45 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |