Model: TIPPSH

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rubin Kazan

PREDICTION

@ 2.08

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 24, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 5h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Baltika Kaliningrad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Baltika KaliningradGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.034 | A: -0.075

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.07First seen

Current2.08Now

Max odds2.08Highest point

Min odds2.07Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Baltika KaliningradHOME

Rubin KazanAWAY

DLWLW

Recent form

DDDLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.80

Shots on target for

4.40

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.20

Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.08. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Premier League (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.08

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Baltika Kaliningrad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 51.8% 7D: 1.1% 15D: 3.9% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Baltika Kaliningrad – Rubin Kazan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample702

Win Rate48.6%

Profit-5.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Prepere - Turnov	1.91	1.04%
LOSS	Fulham United FC - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2.11	1.04%
LOSS	Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	West Adelaide (W) - Salisbury Inter (W)	1.83	1.31%
LOSS	NuPS - LePa	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Giugliano - Scafatese	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	SC Fürstenfeld - TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2.15	1.31%
WIN	Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow	2.10	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.08

Kickoff

Ago 24, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 2d 5h

Updated

Updated 9m ago