Bragantino – Gremio

Model: TIPPSH

Bragantino vs Gremio

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2h 15m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bragantino. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BragantinoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.074 | A: 0.005

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.79Highest point
Min odds1.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BragantinoHOME
VS
GremioAWAY
DDLLW
Recent form
LWWDL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
3.60
Home splitL-L-W-D-W0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 44.8% 7D: 37.4% 15D: 4.4% 30D: 6.9%
Model insight

Bragantino – Gremio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample426
Win Rate60.8%
Profit+8.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Spartak Velka Bites - SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1.69-9.21%
LOSSShenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar1.74-9.21%
LOSSRSD Jette - CS Entite Manageoise1.67-9.21%
WINPaide Linnameeskond - JK Nomme United1.63-9.21%
WINWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Ganzhou Ruishi1.68-6.04%
LOSSCSA Steaua Bucuresti - CSC Dumbravita1.65-9.21%
LOSSCruz Azul - Atlas1.63-7.35%
WINDinamo Zagreb - NK Varazdin1.64-10.11%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 2h 15m
Updated
Updated 1h 48m ago
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